Predictions and Prognostications: Tech and Telecom in 2012. Part 2

by Jeff Wiener on January 3, 2012

With 2011 having drawn to a close it has come time once again to dust off my best Nostradamus robes, gaze into my crystal ball, and speculate about where the tech and telecom market spaces are headed in 2012.

I began this process two weeks ago when I wrote a piece articulating a few of the innumerable predictions that endlessly run through my head during this time of year. I touched on the continued downfall of RIM—a company that may be looking at its last year as an independent entity—the continued emergence of near field communication (NFC) technology in mobile payment systems, and the ongoing development of next generation 4G LTE wireless networks.

But truly that was only the tip of my predictive iceberg, so what else will 2012 have to offer? Below I’ve compiled a number of disparate predictions, some my own and some not, covering a wide range of topics in the tech and telecom sectors. Some of the predictions are based on my own observations regarding market trends, some rely on analyst research, and others simply on industry rumours. My Nostradamus-like predictions regarding the end of the world, however, will have to wait for another time.

The Year of the Tablet

While many predicted that 2011 would be the year of the tablet, it was in fact simply the year of the iPad…again. This past year saw a number of iPad competitors come to market, and save Samsung’s Galaxy Tab this past year saw their hasty departures as well. In fact, every Android or webOS tablet—again save Samsung’s offering—was an unmitigated disaster this past year, with HP scuttling their entire tablet division, Motorola watching several tablet attempts fail miserably, and many other’s simply fading into the nether regions of the tech market.

But 2012 is quickly shaping up to be the year of the affordabletablet, as many are speculating that lower priced tablet options will continue to come to market, giving people who don’t want to shell out hundreds of dollars for an iPad a viable alternative. The market has already been introduced to Amazon’s Kindle Fire, but that is really only the beginning. Look for the tablet market to be once again flooded with tablet options in 2012, only this time some may actually be good.

Windows Phone

Is the market big enough for the Windows Phone mobile operating system?It’s a question many have been asking since Microsoft debuted its own mobile platform last year, with WP struggling to gain a foothold in a market dominated by Google’s Android and Apple’s iOS. To wit, Microsoft’s WP currently holds a minuscule 1.5 percent of the mobile market, a number that places the OS in a distant sixth place overall.

While Microsoft has played the role of the tortoise in the mobile market to date, look for 2012 to bring big things for the company’s Windows Phone OS. Strangely enough, however, I happen to think that Microsoft’s partnership wit Nokia will not be the reason behind the former’s growing success.

Google

I would be remiss if I didn’t mention something about Google. While many may be dreaming about what cutting edge technology Google will develop that once again accidentally steals our private information and broadcasts it to the world, I came across a prediction that resonates with my own soothsaying, 2012 will be a year where Google tries its hand at lawsuits. To date the company that held tightly to its motto, Do No Evil, but with many of its Android partners under constant legal bombardment primarily from Apple, now that Google has Motorola as its market mouthpiece look for the search engine giant to go on the offensive.

Once again, these predictions barely scratch the surface of my thoughts on the upcoming year in the tech and telecom sectors, but if nothing else it should give all of us technophiles something to chat about around the water cooler for the next several months. So from all of us at Digitcom and everyone here at the theTelecomblog, Happy New Year!

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Written by: Jeff Wiener. www.digitcom.ca. Follow TheTelecomBlog.com by: RSS, Twitter, Facebook, or YouTube.

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