Cisco: The Internet Will Quadruple In Four Years!

by Gaurav Kheterpal on June 1, 2012

First things first, I’m in love with Cisco and all of its tech predictions. While these forecasts may or may not be correct, they’re fascinating to say the least. In February, the networking giant made a bold prediction that mobile devices will outnumber humans by 2016.

Last month, Cisco published another report which indicates that Bring-Your-Own-Device (BYOD) is all set to emerge as a norm in the enterprise segment. And yesterday, the company released its 2011-2016 Visual Networking Index forecast stating that the number of mobile devices and Internet users, will quadruple by 2016.

By 2016, global Internet traffic will reach 1.3 zettabytes. And just in case you’re wondering what’s a zettabyte? It’s one trillion gigabytes – now try and count the number of zeros in that figure 🙂

As per the company’s latest Visual Networking Index (VNI) report, global Internet traffic will see exponential growth in the coming years. Cisco says the traffic generated from 1984 to 2012 so far is 1.2 zettabytes, and the Internet traffic predicted for 2016 will be larger than for prior years combined. Overall, IP traffic will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% from 2011 to 2016. Video will account for 54% of all consumer Internet traffic in 2016, up from 51% in 2011.

Cisco says there will be 2.5 network connections per person globally by 2016, or 18.9 billion in total. Interestingly, the percentage of people accessing the Internet on their computers will decline from 94 per cent to 81 per cent, while those using smartphones and tablets will shoot up. The company expects average broadband speeds increasing 4x. An estimated 3.4 billion or about 45% of the projected global population in 2016 will be online. Cisco says mobile traffic will grow twice as fast as fixed traffic over the next 5 years.

There’s no doubt that video will be the key driver for Internet growth.  By 2016, 1.2 million video minutes will be transmitted on the Internet every second. Globally, Cisco expects 1.5 billion Internet video users by 2016, up from 792 million Internet video users in 2011.

And just in case you’re worried where we stand – Cisco expects Canadian IP traffic to grow to 2.8 exabytes a month that year, while Internet traffic will reach 2.0 exabytes.

“Each of us increasingly connects to the network via multiple devices in our always-on connected lifestyles,” said Cisco vice president of product and solutions marketing Suraj Shetty.  The sum of our actions not only creates demand for zettabytes of bandwidth, but also dramatically changes the network requirements needed to deliver on the expectations.”

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Written by: Gaurav Kheterpal. Follow TheTelecomBlog.comby:RSS,TwitterFacebook, or YouTube.

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